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Author Topic: COVID-19  (Read 81112 times)
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« Reply #825 on: April 02, 2020, 03:48:58 PM »

It's a 50/50 chance.
You get it or you don't.

Then, another 50/50
You die from it or you don't.

In the UK, an old man with pre existing conditions BEAT it. Elsewhere, a healthy 18 year old died from it. Even a 13 year old died.
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« Reply #826 on: April 02, 2020, 04:27:25 PM »

That's just a bunch of nonsense by people.
They're doing this nonsense just to make themselves look smarter. It means nothing.
All of this will be gone in a week or two anyways.
The good thing about mathematics is that everything has an objectively correct answer, though there are many correct ways to get that answer.
All of the articles I linked in my post are backed up by scientific evidence. If the models disagreed with the data than the mathematical model would be invalid and would have to be reworked if not discarded.
I will refute your last point in two weeks from now.
It's a 50/50 chance.
You get it or you don't.

Then, another 50/50
You die from it or you don't.

In the UK, an old man with pre existing conditions BEAT it. Elsewhere, a healthy 18 year old died from it. Even a 13 year old died.
Not necessarily. When someone come if contact with someone who has the virus their isn't necessarily.a 50/50 chance that the infected person will pass along the virus. The probability that an infected person passes the virus along to any one healthy person is called the transmission rate. Based on data a good approximation for the transmission rate for this virus is 20% -30%, far less than 50/50. The fatality rate for this virus is also less than 50/50. Data shows that the fatality rate for this virus increases with age. Based on your numbers, we can conclude that 50% * 50% = 25% of the population will die of the coronavirus, which we can conclude isn't reasonable.
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« Reply #827 on: April 02, 2020, 04:30:20 PM »

I'm not on about statistics and death rates. Just because a handful of people in a large group of people died from it doesn't mean that someone who gets isn't likely to die. They either do or don't. It's the same with anything. I might not wake up tomorrow morning. I might. Who knows? I don't!
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« Reply #828 on: April 02, 2020, 04:38:43 PM »

But it isn't a 50/50 chance
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« Reply #829 on: April 02, 2020, 04:40:28 PM »

But it is really. You get it or you don't
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« Reply #830 on: April 02, 2020, 04:41:08 PM »

It's not a 50/50 chance but that's not his point, his point is that anyone can get it, and anyone healthy or not can die from it.
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« Reply #831 on: April 02, 2020, 04:41:45 PM »

It's not a 50/50 chance but that's not his point, his point is that anyone can get it, and anyone healthy or not can die from it.
yeah.

Like, it doesn't discriminate.
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« Reply #832 on: April 02, 2020, 05:39:50 PM »

Exactly
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« Reply #833 on: April 02, 2020, 05:47:46 PM »

Brother E: Me trying to comprehend all the math talk.

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« Reply #834 on: April 02, 2020, 05:51:25 PM »

Brother E: Me trying to comprehend all the math talk.



Do you know how rates and functions work?
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« Reply #835 on: April 02, 2020, 05:52:06 PM »

Do you know how rates and functions work?
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« Reply #836 on: April 02, 2020, 06:08:00 PM »

I generally don't understand more complex math well but since I like statistics I understand this discussion and I like it Wink
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« Reply #837 on: April 02, 2020, 07:11:53 PM »

Not sure if anyone has said already but the total number of global cases has passed 1000000 (one million)
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« Reply #838 on: April 02, 2020, 07:13:13 PM »

We've got over 1 million cases. I feel like celebrating, but I really don't want to. And it's wrong to.
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« Reply #839 on: April 03, 2020, 04:41:22 PM »

My county is one of the few counties in my state that has zero COVID-19 cases
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